Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.512894 3.919939 4.361734 4.877940 5.465886 6.116241 6.892219
2025-03-02 2.838499 3.364320 3.976119 4.744507 5.689282 6.820023 8.286318
2025-03-09 2.440555 3.024359 3.739700 4.688651 5.926303 7.502026 9.686200
2025-03-16 2.152989 2.764187 3.544778 4.627296 6.109313 8.096046 11.010190
2025-03-23 2.019065 2.675585 3.545866 4.802463 6.601269 9.131356 13.046274
2025-03-30 1.849540 2.516490 3.428627 4.791441 6.818175 9.789854 14.608762
2025-04-06 1.699242 2.366394 3.304363 4.749176 6.973003 10.359356 16.092943
2025-04-13 1.512247 2.146161 3.057706 4.497458 6.777490 10.360894 16.653327
2025-04-20 1.420196 2.055619 2.991119 4.508231 6.984439 11.009937 18.362566
2025-04-27 1.359723 2.006246 2.980289 4.601527 7.328218 11.913447 20.628741
2025-05-04 1.304217 1.959273 2.967789 4.688225 7.665625 12.837912 23.056716
2025-05-11 1.246513 1.903915 2.936543 4.738953 7.942925 13.682499 25.448553
2025-05-18 1.189358 1.846958 2.900851 4.783354 8.221899 14.578256 28.114922
2025-05-25 1.104461 1.739001 2.773180 4.656738 8.177350 14.862220 29.573565
2025-06-01 1.040979 1.661911 2.691149 4.602876 8.260684 15.399038 31.649317
2025-06-08 0.982229 1.588698 2.610117 4.542980 8.324653 15.901536 33.725146
2025-06-15 0.966013 1.586846 2.652489 4.714499 8.858694 17.431256 38.423398
2025-06-22 0.922610 1.534649 2.601498 4.703716 9.022888 18.196262 41.425157
2025-06-29 0.878121 1.477667 2.537761 4.662344 9.118497 18.821039 44.184886
2025-07-06 0.808253 1.371202 2.376633 4.415904 8.756195 18.375466 44.103262
2025-07-13 0.778377 1.335582 2.344821 4.426452 8.949236 19.227826 47.630763
2025-07-20 0.760885 1.321552 2.352502 4.517796 9.328914 20.566961 52.758639
2025-07-27 0.743470 1.306530 2.357079 4.602675 9.702441 21.940124 58.267884